Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.014013 0.016261 0.018741 0.021678 0.025060 0.028832 0.033356
2026-01-25 0.010436 0.013281 0.016706 0.021126 0.026675 0.033403 0.042179
2026-02-01 0.008121 0.011196 0.015188 0.020735 0.028231 0.037996 0.051670
2026-02-08 0.006557 0.009702 0.014065 0.020534 0.029859 0.042787 0.062043
2026-02-15 0.005318 0.008386 0.012903 0.020003 0.030842 0.046724 0.071713
2026-02-22 0.004699 0.007844 0.012728 0.020812 0.033802 0.053789 0.086792
2026-03-01 0.004028 0.007090 0.012085 0.020758 0.035366 0.058877 0.099456
2026-03-08 0.003361 0.006219 0.011102 0.019970 0.035578 0.061775 0.108892
2026-03-15 0.002918 0.005654 0.010536 0.019777 0.036717 0.066268 0.121469
2026-03-22 0.002723 0.005505 0.010668 0.020821 0.040134 0.075029 0.142493
2026-03-29 0.002489 0.005242 0.010547 0.021364 0.042681 0.082507 0.162059
2026-04-05 0.002161 0.004738 0.009892 0.020780 0.042992 0.085867 0.174281
2026-04-12 0.001912 0.004362 0.009445 0.020570 0.044053 0.090863 0.190465
2026-04-19 0.001666 0.003953 0.008871 0.020015 0.044335 0.094364 0.204120
2026-04-26 0.001469 0.003619 0.008408 0.019627 0.044911 0.098512 0.219601
2026-05-03 0.001312 0.003354 0.008056 0.019428 0.045859 0.103527 0.237498
2026-05-10 0.001156 0.003062 0.007599 0.018920 0.046039 0.106901 0.252203
2026-05-17 0.001097 0.003003 0.007678 0.019685 0.049249 0.117328 0.283954
2026-05-24 0.000996 0.002821 0.007435 0.019632 0.050509 0.123471 0.306564
2026-05-31 0.000873 0.002555 0.006943 0.018885 0.049972 0.125361 0.319343
2026-06-07 0.000790 0.002390 0.006685 0.018703 0.050822 0.130650 0.340966
2026-06-14 0.000767 0.002389 0.006860 0.019691 0.054817 0.144078 0.384340
2026-06-21 0.000726 0.002327 0.006861 0.020206 0.057625 0.154856 0.422232